Storm Forecast
Valid: Fri 08 Nov 2013 06:00 to Sat 09 Nov 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 07 Nov 2013 22:23
Forecaster: TUSCHY

SYNOPSIS

The European pattern is characterized by a gradually deepening and rapidly approaching large-scale trough from the E-Atlantic and strong ridging over the central Mediterranean towards the Black Sea.

In the lower to mid troposphere, an extensive baroclinic zone runs from the N-Bay of Biscay to the Baltic Sea. Interaction of a mid-layer impulse with that frontal zone results in cyclogenesis, entering the English Channel around noon and approaching Benelux until midnight. Besides, pressure also drops over S-France and more significantly over N-Italy beyond 00Z as lee-cyclogenesis will be underway.

DISCUSSION

... SW/C-France to Germany ...

Extrapolating the path of the eastward racing patch of layered clouds (representing the approaching impulse