Storm Forecast
Valid: Wed 04 Nov 2015 06:00 to Thu 05 Nov 2015 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 04 Nov 2015 07:29
Forecaster: PUCIK

No threat levels have been issued.

SYNOPSIS and DISCUSSION

Main macrosynoptic feature will be a large trough at mid and upper troposphere that will move eastwards during the day, its axis currently stretching from UK towards the W Mediterranean. Towards east, a ridge stretches from the Central Mediterranean to Ukraine with a strong zonal flow to the north and northeast (over Scandinavia and Russia). Most of Europe will be under either dry or stable conditions, exception being especially Central Mediterranean, where passing trough contributes to somewhat steeper lapse rates. Surface observations show dewpoints between 12 and 16 deg C over the area. This combination will be enough for several hundreds J/kg of MLCAPE. Scattered DMC is forecast and will mostly stay unorganised due to the DLS around or below 10 m/s. This will limit severe weather threat and no level is issued. Some waterspout activity is possible as weakly-sheared updrafts form over the local convergence zones.