Storm Forecast
Valid: Sun 27 May 2012 06:00 to Mon 28 May 2012 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sat 26 May 2012 21:26
Forecaster: SCHLENCZEK

No threat levels were issued.

SYNOPSIS/ DISCUSSION

An Omega-like blocking pattern leads to quite stable conditions over western Europe but a weak upper level disturbance may allow isolated showers and thunderstorms over parts of Germany. The highest instability can be found over France and the Aegean Sea. The chance for severe weather on Sunday is rather low.

If there might be any severe weather, the greatest possibility for isolated large hail and severe wind gusts will be found over S Greece and the Bosporus region towards W Turkey. As expected for most events of non-severe summertime convection, the formation of CAPE and therefore the thunderstorm activity is strongly dominated by the diurnal cycle. Isolated heavy rainfall/ large hail or a marginally severe downburst event may occur everywhere within the high probability thunderstorm areas but the coverage of events will not justify any threat level.