Forecast Update
Valid: Wed 14 Jun 2006 18:00 to Thu 15 Jun 2006 06:00 UTC
Issued: Wed 14 Jun 2006 18:41
Forecaster: GROENEMEIJER

SYNOPSIS

Refer to convective forecast...

DISCUSSION

Nrn France, SErn Benelux, Wrn Germany...

Jet streak ahead of cut-off low over southern England is moving eastward into northern France. Deep-layer shear of about 20-25 m/s is sufficient for mesocyclone development with the storms that have devloped over NErn France. Large hail is likely with those storms and additionally rather strong winds are possible within the level 1 area. The activity should shift somewhat further to the northeast into Wrn Germany overnight, while becoming more elevated.