tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928Wed, 06 Jan 2010 16:56:17 +0000http://www.estofex.org/news/blog.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)Blogger13125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-2517559586519680920Sun, 18 Oct 2009 11:44:00 +00002009-10-18T12:17:25.126ZWe profited from a rare sunny spell Tuesday afternoon at ECSS 2009 in Landshut, Germany and had our group photos taken! Click the images for a larger version (1 MB each):Top row, left to right:1. Paul Knightley, 2. Chuck Doswell, 3. Oliver Schlenczek, 4. Christoph Gatzen, 5. Tomas Pucik, 6. Marko Korosec, 7. Pieter GroenemeijerBottom row: 1. Johannes Dahl, 2. Helge Tuschy, 3. Harold Brooks, 4. http://www.estofex.org/news/2009/10/estofex-group-photo-at-ecss-2009.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-1643217420540010262Mon, 12 Oct 2009 07:04:00 +00002009-10-18T11:28:33.700ZThis week (12-16 October) most of ESTOFEX is participating at the European Conference on Severe Storms (ECSS) in Landshut, Germany. During this time, forecasts may not appear. Thanks for your patience!http://www.estofex.org/news/2009/10/estofex-attending-ecss-2009.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-7894333161828634228Thu, 03 Sep 2009 19:01:00 +00002009-09-03T19:41:59.689ZStarting September 8th, the ESTOFEX forecast maps indicate the probability of thunderstorms in more detail. By using two lines, areas with three different levels of probability are indicated.Low probability: 0 - 15%Medium probability: 15 - 50%High probability: 50 - 100%The probabilities refer to the chance of thunder within a distance of 40 km of a point. The areas are http://www.estofex.org/news/2009/09/estofex-starts-probabilistic-thunder.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-6645927117323383809Mon, 08 Jun 2009 11:13:00 +00002009-06-08T12:10:09.131ZA severe thunderstorm outbreak occurred over parts of western and central Europe on Monday, May 25th, and Tuesday, May 26th. The synoptic maps on both days featured favorable conditions for severe thunderstorms over an extensive area. An upper-level trough moved in from the Bay of Biscay on the 25th, lifted northwards on the subsequent day and was placed over the North Sea on the morning hours ofhttp://www.estofex.org/news/2009/06/first-major-severe-thunderstorm.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Pieter Groenemeijer)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-3837374763508047308Sun, 19 Apr 2009 14:49:00 +00002009-04-30T08:32:35.657Zheavy precipitationthunderstormsprobabilitysevere storm forecastingESTOFEX has had a meeting in Prague on March 27-28th 2009. There, ESTOFEX members have discussed several subjects, including a number of ideas that already existed for a few years. The most important issues were:1) Excessive rainfall forecasting2) Probabilistic forecastingExcessive rainfall forecastingOf all threats associated with thunderstorms, flash flooding causes the most casualties and can http://www.estofex.org/news/2009/04/plans-for-2009.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-164959885350414758Tue, 19 Aug 2008 20:01:00 +00002008-08-20T10:29:26.415ZMany countries were affected in a belt extending from northern Italy to the Baltic Countries. Sadly enough, 8 people lost their lives due to the severe weather, most of them due to falling objects in strong wind gusts, 3 in Poland, 2 in Slovakia, 2 in Italy and 1 victim in Austria. ESTOFEX noticed the seriousness of situation a few days beforehand and an extended forecast was issued on August http://www.estofex.org/news/2008/08/on-this-date-widespread-severe-weather.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Tomas Pucik)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-7258389331908180753Wed, 13 Aug 2008 16:57:00 +00002008-08-17T10:27:25.959ZA violent tornado has struck the communities of Hautmont and Maubeuge in northern France on August 3rd at around 20:30 UTC. Severe weather experts of the Belgian Meteorological Institute Karim Hamid and Karel Holvoet have conducted a damage survey and rate the damage F4 on the Fujita scale, with wind speeds likely exceeding 300 km/h or 90 m/s. Their report (in Dutch) can be found here. Pierre http://www.estofex.org/news/2008/08/violent-tornado-in-northern-france.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Pieter Groenemeijer)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-4434924874228072753Wed, 09 Jul 2008 10:44:00 +00002008-10-29T01:41:29.369ZSevere thunderstorms have caused extensive damage on Sunday 6th of July and Monday 7th of July. The episode started with the development of intense supercells across the southern flanks of the Alps in northern Italy Sunday afternoon. The updated ESTOFEX forecast for this day can be found here: link. Large hailstones up to 6 cm in diameter and tornadoes have been reported to the ESWD database of http://www.estofex.org/news/2008/07/severe-thunderstorm-outbreak-south-of.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Pieter Groenemeijer)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-4516653646963030058Sun, 10 Feb 2008 23:15:00 +00002008-02-10T23:25:10.582ZStarting today, ESTOFEX will issue Extended Forecasts, offering a discussion and categorical map of a severe weather situation an extra day in advance, allowing visitors to become more aware of the developing situation early-on.The Extended Forecast is a product that will be offered depending on availability of forecasters and the apparent urgency of the weather pattern.http://www.estofex.org/news/2008/02/extended-forecasts.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-5764328220952350900Thu, 06 Sep 2007 16:24:00 +00002007-09-06T16:48:10.131ZNext week the 4th ECSS takes place in Trieste, Italy (10-14 September)ESTOFEX contributes to this conference with two oral presentations and a poster. Three forecasters additionally present a part of their own thesis work. Detailed results on the verification of our forecasts will be presented, as well as analyses of a few interesting recent large hail and tornado cases.Very interesting talks andhttp://www.estofex.org/news/2007/09/european-conference-on-severe-storms.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-7896642394431502322Sun, 11 Mar 2007 14:32:00 +00002007-03-11T15:05:27.595ZIn the process of "learning how to forecast thunderstorms" ESTOFEX wants to monitor the quality of its forecasts. This is of course done by comparing the weather that was forecast with that what occurred in reality. Since the spring of 2006, lightning location data and (mostly unverified) severe weather reports from the European Severe Weather Database have been plotted on the maps of old http://www.estofex.org/news/2007/03/estofex-starts-objective-forecast.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Pieter Groenemeijer)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-116577002140725949Sun, 10 Dec 2006 16:07:00 +00002006-12-21T19:51:48.316ZAt least once a year ESTOFEX comes together to talk and make decisions about forecasting procedures, verification, plans for our future, and outreach. The last meeting was from 3-6 November 2006 in Linkenheim, Germany. Four of the five forecasters were attending and one active member. A lot has happened over the year. In January 2006 we had a meeting in Toulouse where we decided to use newly http://www.estofex.org/news/2006/12/estofex-meeting-of-november-2006.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37678928.post-116388147610634012Sat, 18 Nov 2006 20:17:00 +00002006-11-18T20:24:36.113ZOn this page we will issue news about ESTOFEX and we will have the opportunity for additional discussion on recent major severe weather events.http://www.estofex.org/news/2006/11/first-test-of-our-estofex-news-blog.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Oscar van der Velde)0