Valid: Tue 08 Dec 2015 06:00 to Wed 09 Dec 2015 06:00 UTC
Issued: Mon 07 Dec 2015 21:28
No threat levels were issued.
SYNOPSIS and DISCUSSION
A progressive wave pattern is in place over Europe. An upper-level ridge and a corresponding surface high slowly move eastward over east-central Europe and Scandinavia. The following upper-level trough crosses the British Isles during daytime and the North Sea and BeNeLux overnight. Behind an occluding frontal system, well-mixed maritime air will bring widespread shower activity in offshore areas and on windward coasts. The background wind field is strong enough to allow a few severe wind gusts especially in vicinity of the trough axis, but lightning will be too sporadic to qualify for a level 1.
Quiescent conditions prevail over the southern half of Europe, with the exception of a small upper-level low over northern Italy that triggers a few showers mainly between Corsica and the Italian mainland. Lightning or severe weather turn unlikely as the remaining little CAPE gets eaten up.