Storm Forecast
Valid: Fri 18 Oct 2013 06:00 to Sat 19 Oct 2013 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 17 Oct 2013 20:40
Forecaster: TUSCHY

SYNOPSIS and DISCUSSION

High pressure over most of central Europe and cool/cold and dry continental air over NE/E Europe keeps thunderstorm probabilities low. Mainly offshore/coastal areas of the Norwegian and Baltic Sea will see isolated and weakly electrified thunderstorm chances.
An E-Atlantic low advects a modified subtropical air mass far north. Meager lapse rates but modest SBCAPE should result in isolated to scattered storms from Portugal to Ireland. Heavy rain will be the main hazard with elevated clusters. Any surface based storm would also pose a strong wind gust risk (e.g. S-Ireland and W-Portugal).