Valid: Fri 23 Dec 2011 06:00 to Sat 24 Dec 2011 06:00 UTC
Issued: Thu 22 Dec 2011 15:19
SYNOPSIS and DISCUSSION
Deep ridging becomes established over central Europe with troughs to its west and east. The one placed over SE Europe affects Turkey during the forecast period and a broad low pressure area gradually works its way to the east and finally exits the forecast area. Hence, showers and thunderstorms from the day before continue while spreading to the south and east. No real severe risk is anticipated although the set-up may favor a somewhat enhanced waterspout risk along the northward facing coast of Cyprus, as LL CAPE increases somewhat. However no pronounced coastal convergence zone can be detected, so the overall risk seems to be more sporadic in nature and no level will be introduced.
Sporadic storms occur over the N-North Sea and the Norwegian Sea, but the activity will be too marginal for any thunderstorm probabilities.