Forecast Update
Valid: Fri 26 Sep 2008 11:00 to Sat 27 Sep 2008 06:00 UTC
Issued: Fri 26 Sep 2008 11:09
Forecaster: TUSCHY

SYNOPSIS

Please refer to the outlook issued at Thu 25 Sep 2008 18:18Z.

DISCUSSION

...Mediterranean...

Scattered thunderstorms developed along numerous convergence zones over the central Mediterranean during the morning and midday hours and despite shallow nature/warm cloud tops, they were/are prolific lightning producers. Condition will stay favorable for further development and therefore both thunderstorm areas were connected. Soundings in this area have well mixed LL (1.5-2km above sea level), so offshore (humid BL) and especially along the convergence zones, waterspout development will be possible.

Intense depression over the NE Atlantic moves somewhat to the north than yesterday forecast and hence a slight northward shift of the level area became necessary.