Forecast Update
Valid: Sun 17 Feb 2008 13:00 to Mon 18 Feb 2008 06:00 UTC
Issued: Sun 17 Feb 2008 12:56
Forecaster: DAHL

SYNOPSIS

Ref. convective forecast from 16 Feb 2007.

DISCUSSION

... Aegean region ...

It seems that fetch over the Aegean is quite sufficient for the development of appreciable moist convection. Though dry advection is in progress, it seems that convection will persist, and even deepen, though some concern with regard to the rapid depletion of LL moisture persists. However, a possible tornado report from Greece as well as the strong low-level lapse rates make a continuance of the waterspout/tornado threat likely. Also quite gusty winds may accompany the convection.